MOTO betting

“Ask Cousin Gabe” is an article at MMAOddsBreaker.com where I answer questions from subscribers. If you would like to ask me a question, regarding wagering, any forthcoming battle cards, or MMA generally, please email it to and also make certain you include your title and location.
“Thinking about moving all within an Ngannou. What do you say?” -Miami, Rich, FL
He could win, but I think those of you paying -325 for Ngannou over Junior Dos Santos are simply out of your minds. The line should be -160, therefore while I personally want to back Ngannou together with my wallet in this spot, I can not do this at these chances. I believe we’re taking a look at a”puppy or pass” scenario, and personally, I’m likely to have a problem on whether to take a snapshot to the puppy or not. I believe he retains worth, but I really don’t like the fact that he is taking on a heavy hitter coming from a knockout reduction.
“Are you really going to get any plays for the Dana White Tuesday Night Contender Series struggles?” -Ashford, Rick, WA
I’ve bet on a few battles in previous weeks but haven’t had the opportunity to place out any plays, considering the traces come out Monday night and the fights are on Tuesday night. I will attempt, but won’t be able to have it done this week either. The amount of work it requires and the time I have don’t appear possible, especially considering I want want to put out at least 2 plays. While I won’t be able to get an article out for this week, I really do like Tiffany Experts +115, since I believe she needs to be a -170 betting favorite heading into her matchup versus Jamie Colleen.
“I am seeing NYC next month. Have you got any restaurant recommendations? ” -Jim, Odessa, TX
For your best pastrami sandwich on Earth, visit Harry and Ida’s in the East Village.
For legit Brazilian acai (and Brazilian dishes), go to Berimbau du Brazil from the West Village.
To get a great piece, my top 2 spots right now Joe’s on Carmine and Williamsburgh Pizza on Broome/Allen. Little Italy Pizza in the Financial District is an excellent 24-hour joint, as well, for a late night piece. For some good soup, The Original Soup Man in Hell’s Kitchen is your spot to hit up! You will remember it from”The Soup Nazi” episode of Seinfeld. The soup there’s legit, as is their lobster roll, and sometimes you’ll find the actor who plays with the Soup Nazi there shooting photos with customers/tourists.
Thank you for your queries and contributions to this report.
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12-fight UFC veteran Sam Sicilia latest to Signal multi-fight Bellator contract

Good on him! Dropping a unanimous decision to promotional novice Gavin Tucker in UFC Fight Night 105 back in October, Sicilia dropped to some three-fight losing skid in the UFC and received his pink slip from the promotion. I like he’s found a new house using Bellator, and hopefully an equally good or even better cash back. Win or lose, the Washington native always shows up to battle and seems for the end. Congratulations to Sammy Dubs for his new arrangement, and best of luck on his new chapter.
Frank Mir agrees to cope with Bellator MMA
Nice! The UFC did exactly the ideal thing and published Mir from his contract, which enabled Bellator to sweep him up. My guess is that they guaranteed him a matchup from Fedor Emalianenko, which made him choose Bellator over rival promotions. I like this move by Mir and look forward to seeing him inside the Bellator cage. The Fedor matchup will certainly be an interesting one.
Cris Cyborg: Holly Holm’is gonna run from the ring, however I’m gont find her’
OOHHHHHH SHIIIIIIIIT.
Artem Lobov reacts to’psychological mess’ Paulie Malignaggi:’I’ll box the ears him off’
LOL Chill, bro. Go watch your fight against MMA boxer Alex White. ‘Nuff said.
NAC Requires milder eyeglasses for Mayweather vs. McGregor
This was some surprising news. Two ounces isn’t much, but I think that it makes somewhat of a difference.
Dillashaw: Mighty Mouse was’consolation prize’
TJ Dillashaw is finally set to confront UFC bantamweight champion Cody Garbrandt in UFC 217 at New York City on November 4th, and the most important reason this name fight is presently taking place is because UFC flyweight champion Demetrious”Mighty Mouse” Johnson refused to defend his title against Dillashaw when Garbrandt was forced from the UFC 209 contest due to injury. The Duane Ludwig-trained fighter understands that Johnson was not confident in himself to accept the challenge. Talking to MMA Junkie Radio, Dillashaw said that the Gabrandt struggle is what he wanted all along and the Johnson matchup was only a backup program. He understands that’s not a fantastic fight for him and wouldn’t accept it,” Dillashaw said. “He’s real worried about the record he wants to break. Go ahead and let him do this, I guess.”
White: Ferguson, Lee to fight for interim lightweight title Alright, now we’re talking! Early popular consensus is that Ferguson will handily defeat Lee, but personally, I’m not so confident. Lee has been quite impressive as of late, and I like seeing his growth inside the Octagon. This is a matchup I’m looking forward to seeing, and win or lose, I hope Lee does not suffer any mishaps he cane make a fast turnaround for December’s UFC 218 in his native Detroit, which is just two weeks after the Ferguson bout.
Paulo Borrachinha Costa: ‘I Will Knock Out Johny Hendricks’
Yeah, we will see about that, Paulito.
Does Former Invicta Champ Tonya Evinger Deserve a UFC Bantamweight Title Shot?
Why not? The division isn’t exactly stacked with possible contenders.
McGregor’100 percent’ believes himself that the UFC 145-pound champ
LOL Quit playingwith, Connie.
Diego Sanchez returns to welterweight, matches Matt Brown in UFC Fight Night 120
No, Diego, Nooooo!!!!! Say it is not so! Just call it quits, my dude. Hang up them gloves. It’s time. You don’t need to be jumping back around 170 pounds when you’re recently testing the waters at 145. Don’t stick around for the money, person, the brain damage won’t be well worth it.
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Ariel Helwani reports that Robert Whittaker will face Luke Rockhold in FC 221 on Feb. 10 in Perth, Western Australia.

With champion Georges St-Pierre not returning to the middleweight division per TSN, this is for the name.
Whittaker (19-4) headsi to his first title defence off an eight fight win streak, including a unanimous decision win over Yoel Romero at UFC 213 where he seized the interim middleweight title. The 26-year-old has finished two of his last three opponents. Rockhold (16-3) is coming from a stoppage victory over David Branch at UFC Fight Night 116. Strikeforce champion and the UFC has won six of the last seven fights. .
Stipe Miocic vs. Francis Ngannou set for UFC 220
MMAJunkie broke the information that heavyweight champion Stipe Miocic will confront Francis Ngannou in UFC 220 on Jan. 20 at TD Garden in Boston.
Miocic (17-2) is currently riding a five-fight win series such as a first-round TKO victory over Junior Dos Santos at UFC 211 back in May. The 35-year-old has won eight of the last nine fights. Ngannou (11-1) has remained undefeated at the UFC and defeated Alistair Overeem last weekend in UFC 218 by first-round knockout. The 31-year-old hasn’t lost a fight since December 2013. Here’s an updated look at the card.
Stipe Miocic (c) vs. Francis Ngannouo — for heavyweight title
Daniel Cormier (c) vs. Volkan Oezdemir — for light heavyweight title
Islam Makhachev vs. Gleison Tibau
Dustin Ortiz vs. Alexandre Pantoja
Thomas Almeida vs. Rob Font
Shane Burgos vs. Calvin Kattar
Kyle Bochniak vs. Brandon Davis
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There are a few new fight rumors to report on in today’s MMA odds and ends, such as an interim title fight that is guaranteed to excite fans. Here are the sin, along with my initial thoughts on them:
Rafael dos Anjos vs. Colby Covington, UFC 224
According to a report by BJPenn.com, UFC 224 is going to have a significant principal event. An interim welterweight title bout has been targeted between top conteders Rafael dos Anjos and Colby Covington. The event takes place Saturday, May 12 at Jeunesse Arena at Rio de Janeiro, Brazil. RDA vs. Covington has been targeted for the main event over the previously-announced women’s bantamweight title fight between Amanda Nunes and Raquel Pennington. RDA (29-9) is an ideal 3-0 since moving up to welterweight including a dominant choice win over Robbie Lawler in his last outing. The former lightweight kingpin will be looking to add a second belt for his mantlepiece. Covington (13-1) is 8-1 overall in the UFC and has won five-straight fights including a dominant choice on Demian Maia his last time out. This is really a incredible matchup featuring two of the best welterweights in the UFC. I’m expecting tight odds for this particular one, but perhaps with a lean towards RDA, who is more proven in the tournament level in the Octagon.
Michel Prazeres vs. Zak Cummings, UFC Fight Night 129
A welterweight bout featuring Michel Prazeres and Zak Cummings is the latest addition to UFC Fight Night 129, which extends down Saturday, May 19 in Movistar Arena in Santiago, Chile. This bout was supported by Globo. Prazeres (24-2) is 8-2 at the UFC and has won six-straight fights. He has been an underrated member of the UFC lightweight division but after several failed weight cuts he’s being made to move up to welterweight. At 5’6???, he is going to be one of the tiniest fighters in the division. Cummings (21-5) is 6-2 in the UFC and is coming off of two-straight wins, but he had been recently injured during a bad weight reduction to get a bout against Thiago Alves and will be coming into this bout on a long layoff. Despite Prazeres’ victory from the UFC, he is going to be a very modest welterweight and Cummings has shown himself to be a winner in 170lbs. I’d anticipate close odds with this one with possibly a slight lean towards Cummings, though I’d caution gambling from the underrated Prazeres despite all the new weight class.
Felipe Silva vs. Claudio Puelles, UFC Fight Night 129
A lightweight matchup involving Felipe Silva and Claudio Puelles has also been added to UFC Fight Night 129. Globo also reported this bout. Silva (8-1) is currently 1-1 in the Octagon with a TKO win over Shane Campbell and a KO loss to Mairbek Taisumov. He’s been inactive in overall averaging only one fight a year but continues to be successful when he can compete. Puelles (7-2) is 0-1 at the UFC, having endured a KO loss to Martin Bravo in his introduction. But he is only 21 and ought to continue to enhance. That is a close fight but I will go with all the upside and state Puelles should be preferred due to being 12 years younger, even if he has not tasted victory in the Octagon yet.
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The UFC welterweight division continues to incorporate new high-profile matchups. Just a couple of days later Rafael dos Anjos vs. Colby Covington was targeted for an interim name fight at UFC 224, two more great matchups have been booked. Here are my ideas on these two new main events, as well as other bouts recently declared by the UFC, listed in chronological order.
Sean Strickland vs. Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos, UFC 224
A welterweight bout between Sean Strickland and Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos is the most recent addition to the stacked UFC 224 card. The event takes place Saturday, May 24 in Jeunesse Arena at Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, and this bout rumor premiered by Combate. Strickland (19-2) is an impressive 6-2 in the UFC and is coming off of a decision win over Court McGee. Dos Santos (18-5) is 4-1 at the UFC and has won”Battle of the Night” 3 times, such as in his conclusion win over Max Griffin in his final fight. Both guys are excellent fighters that are constantly improving their games and I expect a very close gaming lineup here.
Santiago Ponzinibbio vs. Kamaru Usman, UFC Chile
A welterweight bout between Santiago Ponzinibbio and Kamaru Usman has been officially declared by the UFC as the headliner of UFC Fight Night 129, which takes place Saturday, May 19 at Movistar Arena at Santiago, Chile. Ponzinibbio (26-3) is 8-2 in the UFC and is now riding a six-fight win streak, with a decision win over Mike Perry his out time. Usman (12-1) is a perfect 7-0 at the UFC and defeated Emil Weber Meek in his final outing. Both guys are elite welterweights and this ought to be a great battle. Search for Usman to become favored heading into this battle as a result of his wrestling advantage.
Darren Until Armour Stephen Thompson, UFC Liverpool
A welterweight showdown between Darren Until and Stephen Thompson is expected to headline UFC Fight Night 130, which takes place Sunday, May 27 at Echo Arena at Liverpool, England. BJPenn.com reported the matchup. Until (16-0-1) is 4-0-1 in the UFC and knocked out Donald Cerrone in spectacular style in his last struggle. Thompson (14-2-1) is 9-2-1 from the UFC and is coming from a unanimous decision win over Jorge Masvidal. This is 1 hell of a matchup between two of the welterweight division’s elite strikers. All of the hype is all behind Till right now so that I think he will be preferred, however I personally prefer Thompson to win this fight and will be eyeing him as an underdog. I will be very curuous to see the way the public swings the odds for this one.
Dan Ige vs. Mike Santiago, UFC 225
And finally, a welterweight bout between Dan Ige and Mike Santiago is going into UFC 225, which takes place Saturday, June 9 at United Center in Chicago, Illinois. The UFC affirmed the reservation. Ige (8-2) lately made his UFC debut but lost a unanimous decison to Julio Arce. Santiago (20-11) has lost both of his UFC fights up to now from Zabit Magomedshapirov and Mads Burnell. Neither fighter seems like they will stick around the Octagon for long but I would imagine Ige is a slight favorite heading into this one.
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Michael Chiesa’s Lawsuit Against Conor McGregor Revealed

The UFC 223 bus incident is not in the rear-view mirror only yet for Conor McGregor. The Irish celebrity was sued by Michael Chiesa after he was injured in the dolly-throwing episode back at UFC 223, and we have details of the litigation. TMZ has been the first to report the details of the litigation in a movie which you can watch at the conclusion of this article.
As stated by the TMZ report, Chiesa is asserting that the UFC 223 dolly incident was a publicity stunt on the part of McGregor, and Chiesa wants all McGregor’s profits from his mega fight against Khabib Nurmagomedov at UFC 229. According to the lawsuit, the”Son of Sam” law in New York applies to the incident, where someone convicted of a crime can not utilize that crime to profit. According to the suit, Chiesa considers McGregor profited in the UFC 223 episode, partially because it drew more attention to the card, and also because the UFC utilized footage of the bus assault to market the McGregor vs. Nurmagomedov struggle at UFC 229. Remember that the UFC 229 pay-per-view has been the biggest selling PPV that the UFC has ever done, therefore McGregor made countless dollars for that struggle, and Chiesa needs a piece of this pie.
Can Chiesa’s suit succeed? Who knows now, and it’s possible this is finally settled out of court. But clearly Chiesa was granted legal advice to carry this as much as he can go and he will attempt to make some cash off of it, also it’s difficult to blame him believing he was legitimately hurt in the bus attack. Thus far, fans and press have laughed off Chiesa’s suit. But everyone needs to recall Chiesa received facial cuts at the bus attack that forced him off the card. He fought UFC 226 and lost by submssion into Anthony Pettis, and he should feel like he got the raw end of the offer. Chiesa is next scheduled to confront Carlos Condit at the UFC 232 card, but with this lawsuit in mind you need to wonder if it will change him.
As for McGregor, he is still dealing with the Nevada Athletic Commission in relation to this UFC 229 incident where Nurmagomedov jumped through the fence. It has been rumored McGregor plans to fight in MMA again in 2019, but until we see what kind of sanction he’ll get for UFC 229 it’s hard to say exactly when he’ll compete again, and contrary to who. The bus attack obviously didn’t hurt McGregor’s inventory as far as it hurt a number of the other fighters that day, such as Rose Namajunas, that says the bus attack mentally scarred her and who hasn’t fought since UFC 223. While McGregor has left millions since then, other fighters that day such as Ray Borg were severely affected by the incident, and it’s difficult to blame people who were injured from the attack to try and sue McGregor and determine what happens in the courts.

Heading into 2019, we all figured there was a fantastic possibility the UFC flyweight division was on its last legs. But when Henry Cejudo knocked out TJ Dillashaw in the initial round of their bout at UFC Fight Night 143, we believed there was an opportunity the branch could be saved, particularly since the UFC announced a couple of different fights at 125lbs for different occasions.
Well, it looks like that may not be the case, as the marketing has allegedly released several different flyweights.
According to Cejudo, who talked to the press this past weekend in UFC Fight Night 144, the UFC has released top-ranked flyweights Dustin Ortiz and Matheus Nicolau. In addition, John Moraga has been eliminated from the UFC’s official rankings, indicating he too was published. The UFC has not yet commented on if these fighters have indeed officially been published, but generally it’s around the fighters to tell the media and fans when that happens. Virtually anytime somebody has been eliminated from the positions for unknown reasons, however, it is generally because the UFC released them.
Though the UFC flyweight division is clearly on its way out, the choice to cut an excellent fighter like Ortiz is downright shocking, and dare I say, dumb. Ortiz is coming from a competitive unanimous decision loss to Joseph Benavidez in UFC Fight Night 143 that was one of the better fights on this card. There’s an opportunity Benavidez understands another crack at Cejudo’s belt, meaning the UFC simply cut Ortiz coming from a title eliminator. And before this Benavidez fight, Ortiz had won three straight fights, such as a mind kick knockout over the aforementioned Nicolau, a determination win over Alexandre Pantoja — a talented flyweight who it seems was spared from the cuts so much — along with also a 15-second KO over Hector Sandoval which was the fastest knockout in UFC flyweight history. If anything, the UFC should have told Ortiz to maneuver up to bantamweight, which Alex Perez apparently is going to do (along with fighters like Said Nurmagomedov). Releasing such a gifted and improved fighter such as Ortiz outright just seems absurd.
As for Nicolau, he’d won three of his battles in the Octagon before losing to Ortiz, and although he did not seem to be a title contender, he still provided valuable depth at 125lbs. He additionally holds a notable win over Moraga, who it seems has also got the boot. That. Moraga was actually among the first flyweights the UFC signed back in 2012, and although he had an up-and-down UFC career, he was considered to be a good gatekeeper and the ideal test for up-and-comers to take on. In his last fight, he had been knocked out by Deiveson Figueiredo, who seems to be one of the few flyweights the UFC nevertheless has on the roster. There’s no reason Moraga could not have stuck around and continued to behave in a gatekeeper role. It simply seems too harsh to reduce a guy who was among those few fighters with finishing potential in a division that generally sees struggles go the distance.
At this point, it is very weird that which the UFC is performing with the flyweights. If you inquire UFC president Dana White, he states that the advertising has not made a determination on the branch, but it seems like every day we are seeing a flyweight get cut, then another day we see that a flyweight fight reserved. It would be fine if the UFC will make up its mind and either cut all the flyweights or maintain a complete branch, since now the fighters have no idea what type of job security they have going forward, and that’s not fair to anybody.
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Former UFC women’s featherweight champion Cris Cyborg is currently in talks with all the world’s leading MMA advertising about a new contract, according to her representative Audie Attar, who spoke to ESPN’s Ariel Helwani on his MMA show. Cyborg has one fight left on her contract following her shocking KO loss to Amanda Nunes in UFC 232, however her and her representatives have been clear with the UFC that they are interested in a reunion.
According to Attar, Cyborg expects to fight at UFC 237, which takes place this May in Curitiba, Brazil. The main event of that event will be headlined by UFC women’s strawweight champion Rose Namajunas taking on No. 1 competitor Jessica Andrade, and it makes a great deal of awareness to pump up the undercard with a fighter of Cyborg’s fame and name worth, especially in Brazil. If Cyborg does struggle in UFC 237, that is going to be the final battle on her contract, as he’s only one battle left on it without any winner’s clause because of losing the belt.
The UFC will be smart to bring back Cyborg on a brand new thing. She has proven to be a bit of a pay-per-view draw in some time when the UFC wants fighters who sell shows, and she won’t be economical to re-sign, she’s shown to be worth the price. So far as women’s fighters proceed, there are not many more intriguing fighters compared to Cyborg and there sure aren’t many with considerably more name worth than she’s. The UFC absolutely should re-sign her provided that the request is appropriate.
Even though it would be wonderful to see Cyborg get a rematch with Nunes seeing as though she was on a 13-year win streak before dropping her belt in upset fashion, it’s very unlikely Nunes would take this struggle. The rumor is that Nunes would like to fight Holly Holm alongside for the UFC women’s bantamweight championship, which would leave Cyborg with no next logical opponent. There are not too many featherweights from the UFC at this time, but the two that do stand out are Megan Anderson and Cat Zingano. Anderson just beat Zingano in contentious fashion after a toenail sliced her eye and the fight was stopped in the first round at UFC 232, but Anderson did get her hand raised. If the UFC wanted to do Cyborg against Anderson in Brazil, that’s a fight which produces a lot of sense.
Cyborg will fight out that last fight of her contract, but if she will enter free service, she will have a great deal of suitors. Obviously, Bellator would take a run at her as her ex-Strikeforce promoter Scott Coker is in control of the business. But I would suspect RIZIN and ONE would also have a run at her, and of course the WWE, Golden Boy MMA and even some boxing promotions. Cyborg will have tons of alternatives to select from. But if her agent is being sincere, she would like to come back to the UFC, and it might be excellent for MMA fans if that is what happens.
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When most people were sleeping, former UFC featherweight and lightweight champion Conor McGregor put out a tweet stating that he’s retired from MMA. Below is the quote from his tweet:
“Hey guys quick announcement, I’ve decided to retire from the sport formally known as”Mixed Martial Art” today. I wish of my coworkers well going in contest. I join my partners with this venture, currently. Suitable Pina Coladas on me fellas!”
At first glance, it’s hard to take McGregor seriously. In the end, this is not the first time he’s said he is retired from MMA. Another time he tweeted something similar after he was submitted by Nate Diaz in a shocker in UFC 196. Just a few months after tweeting that, he had been back at the cage, winning a majority decision over Diaz at UFC 202. So if McGregor tweets some thing about retiring from MMA, then you have to keep in mind he’s pulled this stunt before.
At second glance, however, there might be something more to this. In the end, McGregor doesn’t desire MMA anymore. It’s only a matter of whether he has that burning fire to step into the cage, as far as finances go, he is set for life. The Floyd Mayweather boxing superfight at 2017 made McGregor upwards of $100 million, and that financial windfall help put him up for success using Proper 12 whiskey. McGregor doesn’t really truly”need” MMA anymore. But he is a rival, and he probably doesn’t wish to go out on a devastating entry loss to Khabib Nurmagomedov in UFC 229 in his last bout, and of course all the shenanigans that went along with it.
This could be a negotiating strategy by McGregor if anything. It’s smart for McGregor to capture the eye of MMA fans and media. He has not even fought in nearly a year and yet remains talked about more than almost any other fighter. He’s clearly a very smart man. The UFC has had talks with McGregor about coming at UFC 239 in a co-main event fight against Nate Diaz, but McGregor was adamant he would like to fight in the main event, and it seems that is in the crux of his own beef with UFC president Dana White and co.. This could be McGregor posturing and trying to acquire the UFC to call his bluff, but it remains to be seen.
Without McGregor, the UFC will have to go ahead and reserve UFC 239 without him as a possible fight. The rumors are that the UFC wants to perform Daniel Cormier from Brock Lesnar for the UFC heavyweight title in the main event, and there are lots of different alternatives for your card including Kamaru Usman vs. Colby Covington for the UFC welterweight title. Just as the fans want to view McGregor return and fight someone like Diaz, and as much as it seems like the promotion needs McGregor, they really don’t, along with the UFC’s well-oiled machine will continue to move forwards with or without the Irish superstar.
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This week, we’ve got a Fight Pass card in Singapore. Since it is in Singapore, we must wake up at 4:30am ET to watch it live. I’ve already set the alarm and I will be up prepared to sweat these early struggles. DraftKings doesn’t have many large tournaments this week so that I will be playing more cash games and less GPPs. I’ll still have 3 GPP lineups but most of my investment that this week will be in cash games. But, there is still money to be won so here are a Couple of plays I enjoy and my fade of the week:
Money Game play of the week — Stack, Leon Edwards ($8,600) AND Donald Cerrone ($7,600)
Donald”Cowboy” Cerrone is not in a dull fight. Whether he wins or loses, his fights generally score as a whole along with the winner almost always pays off their cost in DraftKings. I typically look for at least 100 total points should I pile up a fight in money and I think for this being a possible 5-rounds, it must score well over that. Should Edwards win this battle, it’s likely an early KO, and if that happens he will score quite high. If Cerrone wins, he could lock up a submission or a knockout which will readily 10x his price tag of $7.6k. However, in any event, you’ve got the winner in your lineup and the guaranteed 30-90 win bonus points if you do pile. I believe this fight will be fun so long as it lasts and there should be a fantastic amount of points added up before these two get finished. If this does go 5 rounds, these two should nevertheless get over 100 total points together with the speed Cowboy brings to the table.
GPP drama of this week — Li Jingliang ($9,200)
Li Jingliang constantly puts on a series when he measures in the Octagon. He’s a quick pace fighter that scores well on DraftKings if he wins. I think he should be the fighter wherever this struggle ends up against Abe. I also think he can finish this battle on the feet or the floor and if this happens he would probably pay off his high price tag of $9.2k. He is the 3rd most expensive fighter on the card and I believe he has the highest ceiling. That’s what we desire in GPPs is a ceiling, so that’s why Jingliang is my GPP drama of the week.
Underdog play of this week — Song Yadong ($7,900)
Song Yadong is my favourite DraftKings”underdog” this week. His gambling line has changed to him being a small favorite at -120 but he’s $400 cheaper than his competitor. I believe saving that $400 is a good transfer in cash or GPP games so I like Yadong in most formats. I think Yadong will look to keep this fight on the toes and hunt for this KO win. If he does get the win, I think he should readily pay off that price tag and receive at least 10x.
Fade of the week — Viviane Pereira ($8,800)
My primary difficulty with Pereira is that she is too pricey. At $8.8k, I want at least 88 points out of her and I believe she needs get a finish to do that. I really don’t see that happening and does Vegas with a +617 ITD line. She does not strike a high enough pace or land sufficient takedowns to evaluate 88 points in my opinion. In her two UFC wins she held her opponent against the fence to get a good section of the struggle and no issues are being scored when that happens. If she does that again here, there is no way she comes near 88 points in spite of a win. I will have a complete fade on Pereira this week and that I will compensate for other favorites instead.
If you would like my full-card DraftKings breakdown with analysis on each fight, my private approaches & recommendations, and also my selection prediction for every single fight then it is possible to find that beneath the Premium Picks tab on MMAoddsbreaker if you click on Upcoming Picks. Or you can just go to this link below:
https://mmaoddsbreaker.com/mmaob-premium/upcoming-picks